The Guardian has started a campaign. If you’re at all interested in climate change, you’ve probably seen it. It’s called ‘keep it in the ground’, and calls on the world’s fossil fuel companies to leave about 80 per cent of their known reserves unburned.
This picture pretty much sums up the idea:
To make this happen, the Guardian is encouraging businesses, charities, trust funds, and anyone with skin in the game to ‘divest’ from fossil fuels. It’s doing this, in the words of its editor in chief, Alan Rusbridger, “in the firm belief that it will force the issue now into the boardrooms and inboxes of people who have billions of dollars at their disposal.” For the Guardian, this “simple idea” is the key to meaningful action on climate change.
I’m not convinced.
In fact, i’m more than just unconvinced. I’m concerned the Guardian’s campaign will backfire, and become yet another obstacle to efforts to curb emissions and tackle climate change. Here’s why.
Big risk
This week, the Guardian held a Q&A about the campaign with Rusbridger and a few other editors. I submitted a question, and was lucky enough to receive a fairly robust response from the assistant national news editor, James Randerson.
I have a few issues with his answer.
“politicisation of this issue has been a huge barrier to progress.”
I have a lot of sympathy with this position. Climate change could have been solved in a technocratic way. It’s a scientific problem, which command and control regulations could maybe have sorted out. But the world doesn’t work like that. Climate change has been politicised. Climate change is a political issue. And the Guardian’s campaign can only serve to exacerbate this.
To start with, it’s a campaign. What is the point of a campaign other than to politicise an issue?
And the campaign focuses on a particular end point and one specific path to get there - keeping fossil fuels in the ground via divestment - rather than discussing and exploring multiple ways that goal can be achieved.
The Guardian says it wants to “delegitimise the business models of companies that are using investors’ money to search for yet more coal, oil and gas that can’t safely be burned.” But there are many different and, I think, better ways to encourage companies to ‘keep it in the ground’ than divestment. A proper carbon tax or a decent carbon market, to name but two.
The Guardian has chosen to back a very particular approach.That’s a political decision. The Guardian’s is a political campaign.
So I really don’t see how Randerson can suggest the campaign does anything other than add to the ‘political’ barrier he identified.
“We are very much wanting to build a consensus around this issue.”
Now, maybe the Guardian has better data on this than I do, but i’d bet most of their global readership is left-leaning. It’s well known that people seek news to confirm their world view, and the Guardian provides this service for many, many people (including myself).
Randerson rightly points out that the political left doesn’t own this issue, and points to an article in which columnist Jonathan Freedland argues it would be a “disaster” if that were the case.
But the Guardian does and will continue to put forward the left-leaning case for climate action. By backing divestment - a non-market, counter-market, solution - it has already nailed its flag to the mast.
And those on the political left are more likely to back such an approach. YouGov polling data shows Liberal Democrats and Labour supporters are more likely to back strong action, such as divestment, than Conservatives or UKIP supporters:
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| Source: YouGov |
The Guardian’s ‘keep it in the ground’ coverage will be read, appropriated and regurgitated by those on the left. It is only going to entrench the idea that this is an issue for the left.
That’s not a recipe for depoliticisation, it’s a way to galvanise those already supportive of tackling climate change.
That’s not a recipe for depoliticisation, it’s a way to galvanise those already supportive of tackling climate change.
“if we did not mount a serious journalistic response to the biggest issue of our age it would be a dereliction of editorial duty”
That may be the case. But the Guardian was already covering this issue, and often very well. The ‘keep it in the ground’ campaign is an extension of its activities way beyond ‘coverage’ and into ‘campaigning’.
I would argue that by acting in such a way, the Guardian risks neglecting a wider social duty to depolarise and depoliticise this already hobbled issue.
Climate change becoming branded as a ‘Guardian’ issue could be the death knell for real progress. That runs counter to the Guardian’s no doubt sincere intentions, but seems to be a risk it is willing to take. I'm not sure it should.
I would argue that by acting in such a way, the Guardian risks neglecting a wider social duty to depolarise and depoliticise this already hobbled issue.
Climate change becoming branded as a ‘Guardian’ issue could be the death knell for real progress. That runs counter to the Guardian’s no doubt sincere intentions, but seems to be a risk it is willing to take. I'm not sure it should.


What a strange piece. Climate change became an issue of the left with "An inconvenient truth". The Guardian campaign just reaffirms that.
ReplyDeleteThe Guardian has moved from stealth advocacy to open activism, putting their credibility on the line.
I’ll admit up front that I’m the enemy, a unashamed climate sceptic and I have to say that I’ve found the Guardian podcasts hugely amusing. The pretence that the Guardian hasn’t been massively one sided is not unexpected because any interested party should be used to the little white lies told about AGW. In some ways, admitting that they’re now campaigning is a step in the right direction.
ReplyDeleteThe key component to the Guardian campaign is that they think tackling the producers rather than the users is an easier option. Like drugs policy going after the pushers. Only that’s not very successful because while there are users there will be suppliers. Fossil fuels aren’t even illegal. Trying to diminish the investment in fossil fuel companies might work if those organisations (like the North Sea operations) need support but many of them don’t need or even have shares. For those who do invest, continued production and global prices are more of a concern than any finger wagging by a sworn enemy.
For any kind of realistic hope of cutting CO2 it has to be fair and it largely has to be voluntary. Applying carbon taxes or forcing people to have things they don’t want or think they need is grossly unfair and doomed to fail. Cutting CO2 should start at home and that applies most to those who would campaign on CO2. If I had to pick just one event that proves even the Guardian pays lip service to cutting CO2, then I’d pick the Spirit of Mawson’s doomed trip to the Antarctic. The Guardian sent two reporters halfway round the planet and back to go on what was essentially a cruise with on board entertainment masquerading as science. Given that the ship had digital cameras, satellite phones, internet access and experts in both the science and communicating (lecturers), didn’t the Guardian think there were any better ways of covering the event than emitting all that CO2?
If even the Guardian can’t wean itself off energy, what hope for those of us who are in doubt? Attacking fossil fuels is the equivalent of sawing the branch your sitting on. Eventually you’re going to fall, if the other people on the branch don’t throw you off first.
Climate change has been politicized since the 1980s, and the Guardian is part and parcel with the people who politicized it. If their campaign actually managed to sink the issue, a lot of people's lives would be relieved of a lot of unnecessary fear, and billions of lives would be upgraded by people finally being allowed access to cheap energy.
ReplyDeleteThis is Guardian journalism?
ReplyDeleteJohn Ingleby: "My question is: Government subsidies for fossil fuel extraction vs. renewable energy ought to be a hot election issue - how can we make it so?"
Rusbridger: "well, a big journalistic campaign is a start..."
Mat, I'm afraid you're on the wrong side of this issue, though your reasoning is understandable. A quick anecdote: in the late 1980s, I was an undergraduate at Tulane University when students launched a campaign to force the University to divest from South Africa (then still under apartheid). I did not take part in the campaign because I thought – somewhat along the lines of what you describe above – they were wasting their energy.
ReplyDeleteI was wrong. The students did indeed force the University to divest, and one student who lead the campaign became a major player in the US on race issues:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tim_Wise
The experience humbles me today every time I think about it.
So imagine yourself waking up in, say, 2020, and the movement to divest has had some success. Large pension funds, etc., have pulled out of the fossil sector and put their money into more future-proof endeavors. How will you feel then about this post?
A carbon tax, etc., are all good ideas as well. Divestment is one tool in the toolbox. We will need to use everything.
Let's not make perfection the enemy of progress.
Best regards
Hi Craig,
DeleteInteresting thoughts. And in many ways I hope you're right and that in 20 years I turn out to be horribly wrong. Time will tell.
But it's not necessarily divestment i'm against. I'm against the Guardian - a very particular, polarising brand - appropriating it and thus blunting it. In my view, once something is known as a 'Guardian' issue, it's normally consigned to the draw labelled 'fringe'. And if divestment is going to have an impact anywhere near what you describe, that simply won't do.
Anyway, thanks for your thoughts. Much appreciated, as always.
You can’t equate fossil fuels with apartheid or South Africa with the World and five years is an impossibly short time to see any effect.
ReplyDeleteFossil fuels are, at the moment, an inextricable part of society and there is no obvious reason why they won’t remain so for many decades to come. There is no magic renewable alternative in sight. Investing in renewables might seem a good idea until you realise that for the majority of them, the future is a dead end. Sure, there may be the answers to our prayers being developed today, but do you know where? Like the dot com crash, investing in renewables is a very risky practice and pension companies don’t sustain themselves on boom and bust investments. No good if one uni rides the wave to riches and all the others go bankrupt. The fund managers can’t gamble just because they won’t be popular with Guardian readers or even students if they don’t go green. You also have to work out what percentage of fund investors want a green policy, not everyone feels the same way. People have had the opportunity to choose ethical investing for some time. I bet those who chose to place their money with the Co-op are wiser than they were several years ago.
So if companies don’t invest in fossil fuels or renewables, where are they going to invest? There are some reliable standbys already, like water, but the biggest area would be business. But whose business? If energy is to be significantly reduced and/or expensive for those who have had their share, then investing in developed countries would dry up. Far better to gamble on developing countries that will continue to use cheap fossil fuels for the foreseeable future. So fossil fuels will continue to have a rosy future, just not here and fund investment will still be in those fuels, just with a modesty gap as a sop to the idealistic types.
And what happens here? Without an affordable alternative then we will go broke if we cut fossil fuel use. Businesses will depart. People will increasingly buy imported, cheaper goods. Everything will steadily contract, including further education. Apart from the essential subjects like medicine and engineering, we’ll have no use for highly educated adults. Education would revert to being a luxury. Young people will be sought for their ability to do manual labour not their knowledge of Shakespeare or business management.
I won’t tell you that we won’t have to drastically cut CO2 but indulging in fluffy, feel good policies is the worst possible approach. If universities wanted to help then they should be axing the arts courses and expanding engineering and science opportunities. Push schools to push kids. Make those courses cheaper, or even free. Maybe one of the graduates will come up with the magic renewable or energy storage device.
But most of all, those who have trotted lightly into AGW belief, need to take the time to really examine their own relationship with CO2. They need to ask themselves if they’re walking the walk. Do they really believe they’ve even scratched the surface of decarbonising their lives and businesses? Are there any organisations or individuals who push the AGW agenda, which have not engaged in countless examples of careless energy waste and even extravagant, inexcusable energy waste? I could spend all day listing them. Individuals need to ask ‘how much pain am I prepared for?’ Would you give up that dream of a country cottage for a lifetime in a small city flat? Have you given up flying? Have you limited the number of kids you have and plan to dissuade them from giving you more than a few grand babies? Are you prepared for the snide comments how you seem to be wearing your clothes until they need replacing and not just out of fashion? Do you really need to shower every day or is that just one of those modern luxuries we’ve grown to love? Will a low CO2 future, quite literally stink?
If you want to take the lead then really take the lead. That way you will have the humility and experience to guide others.